Amended
IN
Senate
May 16, 2024 |
Amended
IN
Senate
April 17, 2024 |
Introduced by Senator Dodd |
February 05, 2024 |
This bill would require the deputy director, on or before April 1, 2026, and every 3 years thereafter, to prepare a Wildfire Risk Baseline and Forecast for the state delineated on a statewide level and by county, as provided. The bill would require the forecast to include geographic specificity as determined by the deputy director to be sufficient to evaluate targeted wildfire risk mitigation actions, and to accomplish specific things, including establishing key risk metrics for wildfire risk for the state as a whole, by county, and by geographic location.
(b)“Forecast” means the Wildfire Risk Baseline and Forecast prepared pursuant to Section 15482.
(c)
(d)“Report” means the Wildfire Mitigation Scenarios Report prepared
pursuant to Section 15483.
(e)
(f)
(g)
(b)The framework shall be updated in conjunction with the forecast pursuant to Section 15482.
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(g)
(a)On or before April 1, 2026, and every three years thereafter, the deputy director shall prepare a Wildfire Risk Baseline and Forecast for the State of California delineated on a statewide level and by county, and shall include geographic specificity as determined by the deputy director to be sufficient to evaluate targeted wildfire risk mitigation actions.
(b)The forecast shall be prepared in coordination with the wildfire mitigation plan.
(c)The forecast shall accomplish all of the following:
(1)Contain, at a minimum, estimates of current ignition risk and an evaluation of the consequences of potential ignitions to human life and safety, structures and critical infrastructure, cultural and historic resources, public health, ecosystems and ecosystem services, and any other material consequences as determined by the deputy director.
(2)Establish key risk metrics for wildfire risk for the state as a whole, by county, and by geographic location.
(3)Establish reasonable levels of unmitigated planned risk for the state to assume and manage through fire suppression.
(4)Include an estimated wildfire risk and consequence, in 1-year, 3-year, and 10-year projections, assuming implementation and extension of current wildfire risk mitigation actions.
(5)Include targets for wildfire risk reduction for the State of California in 1, 3, and 10 years.
(6)Beginning January 1, 2029, evaluate current wildfire risk relative to targets established according to paragraph (5) in the most recent prior forecast.
(d)The forecast may take into account the contribution to wildfire risk and consequence created by all of the following factors:
(1)Weather.
(2)Fuel type and fuel loading.
(3)Historic fire regimes and changing fire patterns.
(4)Climate change.
(5)Human population and population density.
(6)Development patterns.
(7)Electric infrastructure.
(8)Other factors as determined to be relevant by the deputy director.
(e)The deputy director shall, each year the forecast is completed, submit a copy of the forecast to the Legislature notwithstanding Section 10231.5 and in compliance with Section 9795, the Office of Energy Infrastructure Safety, and the Public Utilities Commission for review and consideration.
(f)To the maximum extent practicable, the deputy director shall make available to the public on its internet website the factual and analytical bases
for the wildfire risk and consequence estimates included in the forecast.
(a)On or before August 1, 2026, the deputy director shall prepare a Wildfire Mitigation Scenarios Report, to be updated annually.
(b)The report shall contain all of the following information:
(1)Identification of a reasonable range of possible scenarios for overall wildfire risk mitigation spending over the next one-year and three-year periods.
(2)Planned and likely statewide wildfire risk mitigation actions by all of the following entities:
(A)State agencies.
(B)Federal agencies.
(C)Electric utilities.
(D)Municipalities and local governments.
(E)Nongovernmental organizations and private actors seeking state funding.
(F)Federally recognized Native American tribes.
(G)Other stakeholders as determined appropriate by the deputy director.
(3)A quantification of the overall risk reduction achieved via implementation of all planned and potential wildfire risk mitigation actions relative to the baseline level of unmitigated risk contained in the most recent forecast.
(4)A quantification of the risk-spend efficiency of all planned wildfire risk mitigation actions using the framework.
(5)Using the framework, identification and description, in detail, of one or more cost-effective statewide wildfire risk reduction strategies that are approximately equal in cost to planned spending by all entities identified in the report and that achieve maximum estimated reduction in overall wildfire risk and consequence for the State of California.
(6)Recommendations on how to achieve better coordination, risk to spend efficiency, and overall cost-effectiveness, in specific regions and statewide, between utility-related wildfire mitigation investments made pursuant to a wildfire mitigation plan and nonutility wildfire mitigation investments.
(c)The deputy director shall, each year upon its completion, submit a copy of the report to the Legislature notwithstanding Section 10231.5 and in compliance with Section 9795, the Office of Energy Infrastructure Safety, and the Public Utilities Commission,
for review and consideration.
(d)To the maximum extent practicable, the deputy director shall make available to the public on its internet website the factual and analytical bases for the report.